After opening at 3-1, Kyle Busch is the 3-2 favorite for NASCAR in Watkins Glen 2018, which runs Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. It’s the second road course race of the season and Denny Hamlin, recorded at 10-1 NASCAR in Watkins Glen odds, won the pole on Saturday. Busch leads all active drivers with four road wins, including two at Watkins Glen, but his last win in The Glen was back in 2013. Martin Truex Jr. won GoBowling in The Glen last year and is listed at 4-1 odds. Before you make any 2018 NASCAR at Watkins Glen choices, you need to find out what SportsLine’s innovative computer version has to say.

The model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has a proven track record in a number of sports. It also forces McClure’s DFS projections, that have led him to more than $1 million in career winnings.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big racing events in this way are in his blood, and his version has been beating its 2018 NASCAR picks.

The model has made several enormous calls this year, nailing the 1-2 finish for Busch and Harvick in the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 also as Harvick’s win in the KC Masterpiece 400. In addition, it pinpointed five of the top 10 at Bristol and two of the top five at Daytona, simply to mention a couple. Anybody following its picks this season is way, way up.

Now that the 2018 NASCAR at Watkins Glen area is secured, SportsLine mimicked the occasion 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

One surprising pick from the version for GoBowling in The Glen 2018: Chase Elliott, obtaining the third-best NASCAR in Watkins Glen chances to win at 6-1, does not sniff the top 10. He is a driver to prevent on Sunday despite his stellar beginning position of third.

Elliott remains in search of the first career Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series win. He has cracked the top 10 in four of his past seven starts, but was only 19th in Chicago and 34th at Daytona a month. Last year at Watkins Glen, Elliott again started near the top in fourth, but finished a disappointing 13th. He clocked the fastest speed (124.520 miles ) at the final practices for GoBowling in The Glen 2018, but the model says he is a favorite to fade.

Another shocker: Truex Jr., obtaining the second-best chances at 4-1, does not even finish in the top five.

He’s had plenty of success on street tracks, including winning last year. But he is a risky pick at these odds because he’s got an average finish position of 12th at Watkins Glen in his career, and it has completed 10th or worse in three of his last six races . There are better values out there within this Go Bowling at The Glen area.

Instead, the version is targeting two enormous underdogs with chances longer than 30-1 who are poised to make a serious run in the checkered flag, including a monster long shot. Anyone who bets on these underdogs could hit it wealthy.

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