Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano will race for the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway (Green flag: 3:03 p.m. ET, NBC).

In accordance with betting odds from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, Busch and Harvick are the favorites at +200, followed by Truex (+275) and Logano (+450).
Employing historical results and 2018 loop data, we give a championship pick and handicap the race.
After 35 races, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano have earned the right to battle for the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) championship Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway.

Busch (2015), Harvick (2014) and Truex (2017) have all notched one tournament in their own careers, while Logano is trying to secure his original.

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It’s not surprise to visit Busch, Harvick and Truex still living, as”The Big Three” combined to win 20 of the 35 regular-season races this past season. Logano scored two wins himself, but awakened 25 top-10 finishes to earn his shot.

Using historic loop data from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com, let’s break down the contenders to determine the best bet to acquire the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series championshipgame.

The Track
Even though Homestead-Miami joins a few additional MENCS tracks at 1.5 miles in length, there actually are not any others on the circuit like it.

Homestead delivers innovative banking, which allows lines to conduct .

The track surface is also very abrasive, and which makes rubber a huge advantage and wears out tires quickly.

With tire wear creating automobiles challenging to drive and progressive banking allowing drivers to choose different lines, passing is simpler here than most other 1.5-mile paths that are too reliant upon aero for speed and so make follow-the-leader racing.

For the analysis below, I decided to examine the four races in Hometead-Miami Speedway.

Using four races may seem a bit random, but I chose that number . To begin with, 2014 was the year which NASCAR went into the playoff format where drivers progress through the sport’s playoff until four stay to race to the title at Homestead.

Read more: grand national betting odds